The Warning Signs of a Longer Pandemic:
DATE: April 12 2021
“All the things that could prolong the COVID-19 pandemic — that could make this virus a part of our lives longer than anyone wants — are playing out right in front of our eyes.”
– Although the pace of vaccinations is still strong, there’s a growing fear that it’s about to slow down.
– Right now, the U.S. is still making fantastic progress on vaccinations…but… variants of the virus [are] causing new outbreaks and infect[ing] more children
– The more widely a virus can spread, the more opportunities it has to mutate. If[ [we] don’t vaccinate a sufficient percentage of the population….then even years into the future, we could be living through more new variants — some of which might be more deadly, some of which might be more resistant to vaccines, some of which might be more dangerous for certain specific populations.
The bottom line: This darker future is preventable, and our abundant supply of highly effective vaccines is the way to prevent it. The more people get vaccinated now, the smaller the role COVID-19 is likely to play in the rest of our lives.
What if we never reach herd immunity?
Jennie Lavine, a biologist at Emory University, likens herd immunity to wet logs in a campfire. If there’s enough water in the logs—if there’s enough immunity in a population—“you can’t get the fire to start, period,” she says.
For COVID-19, the herd-immunity threshold is estimated to be between 60 and 90 percent.
But what if we still can’t get the logs wet enough? What if they are drying out faster than we can douse them?
The COVID-19 vaccines as a whole are excellent at preventing severe disease: The virus still circulates, but fewer people die: every additional person vaccinated will spread less virus and less likely to get sick, to go to the hospital, or to die.
In the analogy of the campfire, our current pandemic is a big, raging one. We might not have enough water to douse it completely, but the water we do have will still help. The fire will burn slower and cooler. Every drop of water matters.
15 percent of Americans say they will never get a COVID-19 vaccine, making that threshold all the harder to hit.
Anthony Fauci on Republican vaccine deniers
‘On the one hand they want to be relieved of the restrictions. On the other hand, they don’t want to get vaccinated’
UK officials “astonished” at level of public engagement
Why our brains struggle to understand risk
Hey Simon what do you think? 私に一コメントいわせていただければ・・・
I think the vaccines are safe.
I personally am far more scared of corona than of the vaccines.
I think the anti-vaccine movement comes from a kind of 平和ぼけ – we’ve never seen these diseases,, we don’t know anyone who has suffered – my uncle Alan had polio as a child, suffered damage to his left arm and lung, and died at 55 from lung disease (partly related to smoking).
Hey Listeners what do you think? どうぞ自分の”一コメント”をメールで読ませてください
Do you want to get the vaccine?
Are you nervous about getting it?
Which are you more scared of, the disease or the vaccine?
Which would you rather, get the vaccine or continue to live with social restrictions? Vaccine and karaoke, izakayas and large events, or no vaccine and no karaoke, no izakayas, no events.
Japan’s population is quite wary of vaccines, do you think this is reasonable, or do you think this is something that society needs to work to change?
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