沖縄県(保健医療部 地域保健課)へのメールを(お問い合わせフォームで)送った

保健医療部 地域保健課担当へ
(OOOさんと電話で話しましたから、出来ればOOOさんへ)

世界中で爆発的な拡大により医療機関パンクを起こしている新型コロナウイルスに有効な対策は現在一つしかない:

自宅待機。

人と接触しなければ感染拡大のペースを抑えることが出来る。

研究者は、ちょっとした減少は無効化と訴えています。効果があるのは、80%減少:https://www.nikkei.com/article/DGXMZO57610560T00C20A4MM0000/

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外国人と高齢者は一般より新コロナリスクが高い?

この投稿は、私は描いた英語の投稿の日本語訳ですが、少し短縮しました。

まずは免責報告:
私は医者ではない.
私は医学研究者ではない。
私はこの課題の専門家ではない。
私は完全の素人です。
電話とインターネットを使ってリサーチしただけ。

それを含めて、私の素人の考え方をシェアさせていただきます:

以下のあと一人の素人のブログ投稿(英語)によって、新コロナの感染拡大の速度と症状の深刻さは地域によって異なっている。想定として、日本タイプのBCGワクチンを使用している国は速度が遅くて深刻なケースが少ない。

https://www.jsatonotes.com/2020/03/if-i-were-north-americaneuropeanaustral.html?m=1

“外国人と高齢者は一般より新コロナリスクが高い?” の続きを読む

Is the foreign-born (and over 70s) population in Japan at more risk from Covid-19 than the general population?

日本語の(短縮した)訳はこちらです。

Firstly a diclaimer:
I AM NOT A DOCTOR.
I AM NOT A MEDICAL RESEARCHER.
I AM NOT A SPECIALIST IN ANY WAY.
I AM A TOTAL LAYMAN WITH A PHONE, AN INTERNET CONNECTION, AND A WHOLE BUNCH OF EMOTIONAL AND COGNITIVE BIASES THAT INFLUENCE MY JUDGMENT.
DO NOT FOLLOW MY ADVICE.
DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH.
MAKE YOUR OWN JUDGMENTS.
TAKE YOUR OWN DECISIONS.

Ok, with that out of the way, here are my layman thoughts:

A blog post (link below) by another layman with an internet connection (a Japanese national living in Australia) suggests a hypothesis that the differences in speed of spread and severity of infection between different regions of the world may be due to BCG vaccination programs, with the important distinction that not all BCG vaccinations are the same, and that the so-called “Japan Strain” (an older strain, used in Japan and several other countries, particularly in Asia) may be more effective in providing resistance to the Covid-19 virus (this would explain why some countries with a BCG program are experiencing rapid spread: they use other strains that do not provide the same resistance).

https://www.jsatonotes.com/2020/03/if-i-were-north-americaneuropeanaustral.html?m=1

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Sharing my grief on social media: the shares, and some reflection

In my response to Hideo’s death I somehow ended up sharing my grief on social media (which is very not usually something I would do). I discuss this in the final section of this post, but first, the posts themselves, culled from my social media for that week:

From my Instagram/Facebook:

When I’m tense (eye-man?) I always compensate by getting ready absurdly early (and by making puns with my name…). Just in case there’s a problem (with my shoelaces??). So here I am, in my genkan, all ready to go, in the shirt and shoes wonderwife helped me buy on Friday, fully an hour before Owen is due to pick me up….
(Barely able to see the screen thru snot and tears….).
Hideo would say “Do what you need to do, dude”.
I wonder how long I’ll be hearing his voice in my head?
Hopefully forever….💔💔💔💔💔💔💔💔💔💔💔

“Sharing my grief on social media: the shares, and some reflection” の続きを読む

Last night the world lost a fucking fireball….

Last night the world lost a fucking fireball of fun, whose wellspring of love and compassion was apparently bottomless (I never found the bottom: he always had more to give).

And I lost one of the best friends I ever had.

He was someone I could call at any time of day or night – he was always happy to hear from me. There were times when we talked nearly every day.

He supported me in the nutty stuff I try to do: teaching or writing or drawing or even just ranting about the state of the world. He’d always say “Your shit’s pretty cool dude”.

He also recognized my areas of fumbling inadequacy and pushed me to overcome them:

He pushed me to overcome my fear and really learn to surf. I’m still not the greatest surfer, but I think he’d be proud of who I am now out in the water.

And his dating advice and encouragement helped push me out of the shell I like to hide in: it’s not much of an exaggeration to say that without him I might never have gotten married….

He was also big enough to tell me when I fucked up, and if I fucked up with him, magnanimous enough to forgive me.

He will be sorely, painfully, viscerally missed by a great many people, and I feel proud and blessed and humbly grateful to count myself among them.

I hope he found my friendship even slightly as helpful as I found his. I’ll always wish I could have done more.

Rest easy now, my brother-from-a-different-mother…..

Pretty sure the surf must be firing where you are, Hideo, so remember what you always told me: gotta want it to win it dude, so go hard, point it down, and get some… Enjoy your eternity of perfect waves, Hideo, you, more than anyone, have earned it….
Quintessentially Quinn: Rest in Peace Quinn Hideo Morgan Gray, 1973-2020
From back when life was simpler….

Climate Emergency Presentation Nodake 3ku 2020-02-28 UPDATE: CANCELLED

自治会会長と話して、ウイルスでイベント中止の動きに揃いましょうって。ご了承下さい、近い内に…
I talked to the head of the neighbourhood association and we decided to cancel this event to help contain the corona virus (many public events are now being cancelled) we’ll reschedule once things have calmed down…

日本語でプレゼンする、是非来てください、人数いればいるほどインパクトがある、インパクトがあればあるほど行動に繋がる確率が上がる。チラシはこち、ご自由に印刷、シェアなどよろしく。

I’ll be doing my next Climate Emergency presentation at my local neighborhood association, it’ll be in Japanese but please come if you can, the more people show up the bigger the impact, and the bigger the impact the greater the chances of it leading to real action.

Nerd Nite 2020-02-07 Presentation: Apocalypse Soon

Nerd Nite のプレゼンのスライドファイル:
Here is the slideshow file to accompany my Nerd Nite presentation

Apocalypse Soon

[Follow-up comments, written the morning after my Nerd Nite presentation]:

Firstly I want to thank everyone who watched my presentation last night. Despite how I look once I’ve got a mic in my hands (somehow being in the limelight lends me a lot of energy), I’m not a naturally outgoing person (I’m terrible at small talk) so I was very nervous: you were a wonderful audience and made it easy for me to give my talk. Thank you.

I have a few follow-up comments, things I might have said if I’d had more time and/or if I had been quick-witted enough to have thought of them in the moment:

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how to think things in the 21st century

I’m in a caustic mood today (“caustic mood” = 暗くて皮肉的な気分). I mean this post is humor and sarcasm though with a serious point. Enjoy:


How to think things in the 21st century (a guide for beginners):

1) believe in X(ism) and define it as you choose.

2) compare EVERYTHING to your definition of X – all opinions, people, news, documentaries, politics, perspectives, science, EVERYTHING

3) denounce EVERYTHING that is not EXACTLY “X” as you define it (and all people who do not exactly believe this X as you define it) as wrong/stupid/ignorant/immoral/evil

“how to think things in the 21st century” の続きを読む

Flash Mob Mihama American Village 2020-01-24 18:00~

Climate Reality Project (気候現実プロジェクト)、とClimateStrikeOki(気候ストライキ沖)、tensaimon(天才門!)は美浜アメリカンビレッジで2020年1月24日(金)18時からフラッシュモブをします!歌の題名Staying Aliveは「生き残る、死なない」って意味だから、気候危機にすごくふさわしい:踊るが死ぬかといえば、踊りましょうね!
The Climate Reality Project, Climate Strike Oki, and Tensaimon (me!) are going to do a Flash Mob in Mihama on Friday 2020-01-24!! Please come and join in, because if it’s dance or die we should probably dance!!

こんな感じです:
This is what we are going to do:

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